and FanGraphs . As players are traded and drafted over the next few weeks, or if their Future Value grade changes throughout the rest of the season, those alterations will be found in the 2022 Updated option on the dropdown menu. 74), Vidal Brujn (No. RHP Nick Nastrini (Tier 2). RHP Matt Canterino (Tier 2)9. OF Mason Auer (Tier 3), 1. He was hitting well in the Triple-A West League with an on-base percentage well over .400 for the year. 1 prospect here for the first time in five years, there are a few new names courtesy of the Nolan Arenado deal and theres some young talent several years away thanks to the Rockies long-standing presence in Latin America. RHP JR Ritchie (Tier 3) 5. Left-handers Aaron Ashby and Ethan Small are knocking on the door. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location,
Feel free to compare to our 2021 farm system rankings if you wish. More , 11. Minnesota Twins2020 midseason rank: 122020 preseason rank: 7Top 100 Prospects: Royce Lewis (No. Still, its a credit to the scouting and development groups that Detroit has been able to make quality picks with each of its past three first-rounders Greene (2019), Torkelson (20) and Jobe (21) and develop the first two into Major League-ready contributors. Detroit Tigers2021 midseason rank: 72021 preseason rank: 22020 midseason rank: 22020 preseason rank: 5Top 100 Prospects: Spencer Torkelson (No. 22), Jordan Groshans (No. the dollar values are based on a study by FanGraphs that took the expected big league output on average by each tier of prospect . Houston Astros2021 midseason rank: 292021 preseason rank: 292020 midseason rank: 272020 preseason rank: 28Top 100 Prospects: none, The Astros place in the bottom three for the fifth straight time, yet that hasn't kept them from appearing in five consecutive American League Championship Series. Updated MLB Farm System Rankings at Start of the 2022-23 Offseason Joel Reuter November 16, 2022 Greg Fiume/Getty Images Before the MLB offseason trade market heats up, now is the perfect. 59), Hunter Greene (No. The following factors helped determine the placement of players and teams: A tier system was used to help differentiate the varying levels of individual talent: Teams were initially ranked based on the average tier ranking of their top 10 prospects, and the rankings were then subjectively tweaked from there. RHP Bryce Miller (Tier 2)4. For instance, the Rays are currently ranked first, but theyll drop to seventh as soon as Shane Baz graduates, which could be after his next start. 39), Nick Madrigal (No. 2B Michael Busch (Tier 1)5. 4 prospect. 1 spot for three straight editions of these rankings, are coming off their first 100-win season in the history of the franchise. 64), Colton Cowser, OF (No. OF Colin Barber (Tier 3)10. LHP Jay Groome (Tier 3)10. The deep system also features several intriguing pitching talents, including five among its top 10 prospects. RHP Jack Leiter (Tier 1)4. C Jeferson Quero (Tier 3)9. OF Dominic Fletcher (Tier 3)10. OF Pedro Len (Tier 3)8. In essence, Id be double counting my personal preferences. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted
Spoiler alert: You'll notice the same teams that . He has been known to have power outbursts from time to time, but he really seems to struggle against left-handed pitching. This progress is due largely to trades that brought in 10 players -- seven among the A's Top 30 Prospects -- while dealing away Chris Bassett, Matt Chapman and Matt Olson. Now it's time to rank farm systems adding their 2022 draft picks, assuming most end up signing on the dotted line. Philadelphia Phillies2020 midseason rank: 232020 preseason rank: 19Top 100 Prospects: Spencer Howard (No. 9 as the farm system continues to become more balanced on both sides of the ball. 3B Cayden Wallace (Tier 2)5. C/IF/OF Endy Rodriguez (Tier 1)2. RHP Brandon Pfaadt (Tier 1)5. 82), Harry Ford, C (No. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 7:42 AM ET, Park Factors
Id consider some of the teams who have among the most listed prospects and who also have a strong developmental track record such as the Dodgers, Red Sox and Guardians to reinsert themselves into that top tier within the next year, just through the sheer volume of opportunities they have to make players better. So when you peruse our system rankings below, expect to see the teams ranked near the top playing for championships in the near future. RHP Luis Ortiz (Tier 2)6. LHP Carson Whisenhunt (Tier 2)6. RHP Matt Allan (Tier 3), 1. C Korey Lee (Tier 2)5. 93), Matt Brash, RHP (No. 4 overall Draft pick (their earliest choice since 1967), and the emergence of Nick Yorke, their first-rounder from the year before. 45), Mick Abel (No. San Francisco Giants2021 midseason rank: 82021 preseason rank: 112020 midseason rank: 132020 preseason rank: 10Top 100 Prospects: Marco Luciano (No. New York Mets2021 midseason rank: 222021 preseason rank: 192020 midseason rank: 202020 preseason rank: 20Top 100 Prospects: Francisco lvarez (No. C Austin Wells (Tier 1)5. More , 18. 84), Xavier Edwards (No. The Angels have not had the best luck developing middle infield prospects in recent years. 56), Shea Langeliers (No. 34), Max Meyer (No. More , 27. RHP Reese Olson (Tier 3)10. RHP JR Ritchie (Tier 3)5. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted
Younger = more range of outcomes = higher chance of more development in the tank. OF Spencer Jones (Tier 2)7. Just scroll down a little bit; its on the right. Heres an example: I like big-framed, projectable players. SS Edwin Arroyo (Tier 1)4. 61), Austin Wells (No. OF Andy Pages (Tier 1)7. OF Garrett Mitchell (Tier 1)5. C Edgar Quero (Tier 2)4. They spanned roughly 260,000 words of analysis and opinion regarding roughly 1,500 prospects and the systems they occupy, plus the tool grade components on The Board. 9 on this list for three straight rankings, the D-backs have vaulted into the top five. 3B Brett Baty (Tier 1)3. Just as a quick noteif youve set it up to automatically update from the draft prospects list, that list might be out of date. Most of their best young talents are still another year from being ready for the big leagues, including right-hander Daniel Espino, their best mound prospect since CC Sabathia. 59), There's still room for improvement, but the Oakland system is much more robust than it was a year ago. C Rickardo Perez (Tier 3)10. 54m The prospects traded for Juan Soto have been added to the Nationals team list: fangraphs.com/prospects/the- 5 4 12 FanGraphs Prospects @FG_Prospects Washington moves from 24th to 8th in the live farm system rankings. 3B Casey Schmitt (Tier 2)8. 86), Trades have thinned the Padres farm system over the past couple seasons, but there still are exciting prospects worth keeping an eye on. More , 26. More , 17. 47), Kristian Robinson (No. RHP Jackson Jobe (Tier 1)2. SS Colson Montgomery (Tier 1)2. But even after all that, the farm system is still among the best in baseball. Tampa Bay Rays2021 midseason rank: 62021 preseason rank: 12020 midseason rank: 12020 preseason rank: 1Top 100 Prospects: Shane Baz (No. 42), Mick Abel (No. 3B James Triantos (Tier 3), 1. 1 dont have a Commissioners Trophy yet, but theyve been in the hunt and all of them are contenders once again this year. 1B Triston Casas (Tier 1)3. 4 prospect Ivan Herrera arent far from forming a Major League battery themselves. OF Gavin Cross (Tier 1)2. Houston Astros2020 midseason rank: 272020 preseason rank: 28Top 100 Prospects: Forrest Whitley (No. There are a lot of varying opinions on the Chicago Cubs farm system among baseball outlets. RHP Mason Miller (Tier 2)8. C Joe Mack (Tier 3)9. C Logan O'Hoppe (Tier 1)2. 78), Dane Dunning (No. 95)Top 2021 rookie: Tyler Stephenson, C, Things are looking up for the Reds, who finished over .500 in 2020 and boast a system with a mass of talent at the top of its Top 30 courtesy of a string of first-round picks over the last several years. Only players on the prospect list are. IF Hao-Yu Lee (Tier 3)6. 33), George Kirby (No. assessment is a thing we need to nail down. Using Craigs research to value a given FV tier still allows me to express my assessment of and preference for individual players, while also adding some rigor to the system rankings. Gorman already moved to second base to get out of the All-Stars shadow, and depending on how that transition goes, he could assume that role in the Majors quickly in 2022. More , 13. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. 100), Like speedy outfielders who can hit? Minnesota Twins2021 midseason rank: 182021 preseason rank: 222020 midseason rank: 122020 preseason rank: 7Top 100 Prospects: Royce Lewis (No. Right-hander, Even after gutting their farm system to acquire Juan Soto last summer, the Padres still have one elite-level prospect in shortstop, Whether he wins a spot in the starting rotation or starts the year in a bullpen role, hard-throwing, While much of the attention goes to the top three arms in the Mariners' system, right-hander, The Milwaukee system is thin on high-ceiling pitching prospects right now, with the exception of 2022 second-round pick. But plenty of talent remains at the top with four Top-100 prospects, each of whom is 21 or younger. As always, the Rays are known for their considerable depth -- more so now when they dont claim the top overall prospect in the game -- and while their Top 30 is already high-quality, theres a decent chance a popup name will emerge from outside that group in 2022, as Curtis Mead did last year. SS Cristian Hernandez (Tier 2)6. On the other side, the Astros not long ago underwent one of the biggest farm-based rebuilds in recent memory, an effort that brought them key 2021 contributors Carlos Correa, Alex Bregman, Jose Altuve and Kyle Tucker, to name a few. 32), Clarke Schmidt (No. Boston Red Sox2020 midseason rank: 242020 preseason rank: 25Top 100 Prospects: Triston Casas (No. 4 Joe Ryan, No. Fans of Texas and Cleveland, and to a lesser but relevant extent the Angels and Reds, should take a deep breath and relax when they open the rankings, as those systems have many prospects in the 45+ to 40+ FV range who will buoy those orgs in the final rankings. 54), Roansy Contreras (No. Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and currently lives in Tempe, AZ. There are 79 hitters that are 50FV or better. With Alek Thomas and Corbin Carroll atop the list, its easy to get excited about the future outfield. But the top three on the list were all first-round picks of the Pirates. MLB.com bases their rankings on a point system and has the Cubs system 24th in baseball,. At some point, the calculations should be dictated by what the players are and not what I forecast them to be, and figuring out how and when to transition from one to the other in this hybridized prospect/pre-arb (maybe?) The top of the Seattle Mariners farm system ranks second in baseball based on the top-100 prospects lists - Lookout Landing Seattle Mariners Minors The top of the Mariners farm system. RHP Tink Hence (Tier 1)3. RHP Drey Jameson (Tier 2)6. Philadelphia Phillies2021 midseason rank: 272021 preseason rank: 232020 midseason rank: 232020 preseason rank: 19Top 100 Prospects: Bryson Stott (No. 36), The Rockies' group of prospects is making its way up our rankings thanks to an influx of talent from recent Draft classes. IF/OF Edouard Julien (Tier 1)5. And on and on and on. OF Cristhian Vaquero (Tier 2)7. 20), Henry Davis (No. OF Jordan Walker (Tier 1)2. More , 3. More , 3. The Royals showed a real propensity to develop bats in 2021 Witt, Pratto, Melendez and Vinnie Pasquantino each finished among the Minors top six in extra-base hits last year but they lack the same punch in the arms race. More , 28. RHP Darius Vines (Tier 3)7. OF Gabriel Rincones Jr. (Tier 3)8. More , 29. 3B Warming Bernabel (Tier 3)8. 55), Jarren Duran (No. 48), Ronny Mauricio (No. I . More , 24. SS Marcelo Mayer (Tier 1)2. OF Johan Rojas (Tier 3)7. RHP Hunter Brown (Tier 1)2. 3B Tyler Locklear (Tier 3)9. Sort of relatedI have noticed FGs grades are consistently lower than other outlets. C Henry Davis (Tier 1)4. If you look at guys 28 or older (the guys who will be falling off the list) there are only 40. 87), With Hunter Greene poised to spend considerable time in the Majors this year, Nick Lodolo just about ready to do the same, Cincinnatis rotation should feature two of the most exciting rookie pitchers for a good chunk of the season. Six of their seven best prospects have arrived since the start of 2021: shortstop Cristian Hernandez from the international market, infielder James Triantos and left-hander Jordan Wicks from the Draft and right-hander Caleb Kilian and outfielders Pete Crow-Armstrong and Kevin Alcantara via trades. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. 1B/OF Dustin Harris (Tier 3), 1. 81)Top 2021 rookie: Corbin Martin, RHP, The D-backs hold steady at No. The most efficient way to build a winning big league club is by constructing a strong farm system. More , 9. RHP Jaden Hill (Tier 3), 1. More , 20. 62)Top 2021 rookie: MacKenzie Gore, LHP, Led by Fernando Tatis Jr. and Chris Paddack, the longtime bountiful Padres system finally began making an impact in the Majors. You can also use The Board to look back at prior snapshots of the farm rankings. Post-MLB-trade-deadline farm system rankings for all 30 teams. 14), Triston Casas (No. This year, Houston could get a boost from its top three prospects, all of whom narrowly missed the Top 100: shortstop Jeremy Pea, catcher Korey Lee and right-hander Hunter Brown. While top prospect Kahlil Watson will need a few years to develop at shortstop after Miami stole him with the 16th overall pick last July, right-handers Edward Cabrera and Max Meyer could join the big league rotation in 2022 -- with wunderkind Eury Perez not far behind. More , 7. FanGraphs has released updated 2021 prospect rankings out as we head into the holiday season and a new year. Arizona Diamondbacks2021 midseason rank: 92021 preseason rank: 92020 midseason rank: 9Top 100 Prospects: Alek Thomas (No. OF Jackson Chourio (Tier 1)2. 92) This is the third straight time the Orioles have landed in the top spot and it's now five rankings in a row Baltimore has a top 10 farm system. RHP Griff McGarry (Tier 2)5. Loading. The current state of the system features a top half of players ready to make debuts this season or next season. 98), The Mariners are tied for the lead with six prospects in the Top 100, with two landing in the top 11 and topped, of course, by phenom Julio Rodrguez. Washington Nationals2021 midseason rank: 202021 preseason rank: 302020 midseason rank: 302020 preseason rank: 29Top 100 Prospects: Cade Cavalli (No. 68)Top 2021 rookie: Sixto Sanchez, RHP, The Marlins rallied last year for their first winning record in a decade and first playoff appearance in 16 seasons. A lot of the 45/50 pool is just going to be guys who are revised up 1-2 notches based on development curve and more information. C Francisco lvarez (Tier 1)2. Episode 949 This week on the podcast, we learn a lot about Kansas City's farm system before a chat about potential moves before the 40-man roster deadline. More , 15. In the past two years, unheralded prospects Cristian Javier, Luis Garcia, Chas McCormick and Jake Meyers have made significant contributions. SS Yiddi Cappe (Tier 3)6. The plus designations help account for this some. OF Sterlin Thompson (Tier 3)10. 1. 3B Jacob Berry (Tier 1)4. These rankings of all 30 . Four of the top prospects in the system (No. The Orioles already have the best farm system in baseball. Teams were initially ranked based on the number of Tier 1 and Tier 2. LHP Brandon Walter (Tier 3)10. Baltimore Orioles The Baltimore Orioles already had the best farm system coming into the MLB Draft with the first overall selection. More , 18. RHP Cade Horton (Tier 3)9. Now that we have ranked the top 100 prospects in MLB heading into the 2023 season, let's turn our attention to how all 30 farm systems stack up. Boston Red Sox2021 midseason rank: 122021 preseason rank: 242020 midseason rank: 252020 preseason rank: 25Top 100 Prospects: Marcelo Mayer (No. OF Everson Pereira (Tier 2)6. SS Brayan Rocchio (Tier 1)6. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. OF Justin Dirden (Tier 2)6. RHP Bed Kudrna (Tier 2)3. LHP Blake Walston (Tier 3)9. OF James Wood (Tier 1)3. Post-2018 Farm System Rankings 11/12/2018 - Craig Edwards 53 Prospects Minor League Leaders Batting Pitching Stats are combined from all levels. 6 Jhoan Duran, No. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Outfielder Drew Waters, shortstops Braden Shewmake and Vaughn Grissom and pitchers Kyle Muller, Bryce Elder, Tucker Davidson and Freddy Tarnok provide young talent that could help support a championship-caliber roster. 72), MLB Pipeline has been ranking prospects since 2004, and this marks the first time a Royals prospect has claimed the No. by Handedness, In-Progress Farm System Rankings Are Now On The Board, Sam Delaplanes Slider Has Him Soaring Toward Seattle, Dodgers Finally Get DirecTV Deal in Los Angeles. But FV is somewhat tied to where a prospect is in their minors career arc. Thanks to Kevin Goldstein, Brendan Gawlowski, and Tess Taruskin for their help, to Sean Dolinar for building the tools that allow me to produce these lists with such detail by removing a huge part of the technological burden, and to managing enabler editor Meg Rowley, who edited every word of every list and with whom Im lucky to share enough pathological traits to make this all possible. LHP Dylan Dodd (Tier 3)8. Its much more difficult to draft/sign a guy whos 50 right from the start. RHP Quinn Priester (Tier 1)5. Theres a lot of pitching depth, even after they traded two arms to the Reds for Jesse Winker and Eugenio Surez, and Seattle keeps filling in high-end talent with the aggressive pursuit of talent on the international market. 1. Just wanted to let you know it wasnt up yet. Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and currently lives in Tempe, AZ. SS Oswald Peraza (Tier 1)4. C Dalton Rushing (Tier 2)9. They dont have the major league-ready stars that other orgs do, but they have several fast-approaching everyday hitters, homegrown pitching depth (but not much internal hope for elite, top-of-rotation pitching), and the deepest system in the game. They got even better with two very nice hauls from the Twins and Astros after sending Jorge Lopez and Trey Mancini to the Twins and Astros respectively. LHP Jackson Ferris (Tier 3)10. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location,
SS Brice Turang (Tier 2)6. 52), Jose Miranda (No. In addition, the Cardinals have several high-ceiling prospects, such as Masyn Winn and Edwin Nunez, who could really elevate the systems ranking if everything clicks in their development. The recent additions will take time to develop, but are supported by long-tenured members of the system. Milwaukee might just be the system for you. 3), Noelvi Marte, SS (No. OF Oscar Cols (Tier 1)3. Top 100 Prospects: Gunnar Henderson, SS/3B ( No. Even 45+ is much closer to 35+ than 50. 50), Taj Bradley (No. 38)Top 2021 rookie: Dylan Carlson, OF, While Dylan Carlson will likely graduate early in the 2021 season, Matthew Liberatore and Nolan Gorman are legitimate, big-time prospects. More , 7. And as the club gets closer to postseason success, they've made the corresponding moves, trading 15 of their Top 30 prospects this past offseason, most notably Luis Patio to the Rays. OF Ethan Wilson (Tier 3), 1. 27), Heston Kjerstad (No. 85), Shane Baz (No. OF Will Brennan (Tier 3), 1. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location,
RHP Mick Abel (Tier 1)3. 18), Corbin Carroll (No. RHP Wilmer Flores (Tier 1)3. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. More , 24. 7. 3B Mark Vientos (Tier 2)7. OF Sal Frelick (Tier 1)3. These will fluctuate and change shortly. San Francisco also has some high-end talent as well, with catcher Joey Bart preparing to take over for Buster Posey and a huge wave led by shortstop Marco Luciano, outfielder Luis Matos, left-hander Kyle Harrison and right-hander Will Bednar perhaps arriving in 2023. Rumor has it that the SS in Jasson stands for "superstar." The kid hasn't even made his . Tampa Bay Rays2020 midseason rank: 12020 preseason rank: 1Top 100 Prospects: Wander Franco (No. 40), Garrett Crochet (No. 17), Alex Kirilloff (No. RHP Emerson Hancock (Tier 2)7. For that reason, this is not a perfect way of quantifying young talent in an org, and early-career extensions make evaluating those players using monetary values more complicated. The Brewers (mid-2016) and Braves (pre-2017) have made three straight playoff appearances, including a trip each to the National League Championship Series. First, there are the live farm system rankings, viewable through the 2022 Updated drop down. SS Jose Rodriguez (Tier 3)7. LHP Dax Fulton (Tier 3)7. RHP Daniel Espino (Tier 1)2. 29), Cole Winn (No. Moreno is the clubs catcher of the future and that could come early in 2022, based on the readiness of his bat and his athleticism behind the plate. 97)Top 2021 rookie: Alex Kirilloff, OF, Even with the loss of top prospect Royce Lewis for the year, four of the Twins top six prospects have the chance to impact the big league roster in 2021, with some good depth behind them. 16), Nick Yorke (No. 89)Top 2021 rookie: Adbert Alzolay, RHP, The Cubs continue to stand out with their ability to develop hitters and their struggles to produce pitchers, though Brailyn Marquez and RHPs Kohl Franklin and Adbert Alzolay offer some hope on the mound. RHP Owen Murphy (Tier 3) 4. RHP Ty Madden (Tier 1)5. OF Matt Wallner (Tier 2)6. The best 55 and the worst 50 would have a huge difference.